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Forecast of Top Index Funds for Investing in the Stock Market : Long View of the Leading Equity Funds Till the 2030s and Beyond: DIA, SPY and QQQ

By Kim, Steven

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Book Id: WPLBN0100003175
Format Type: PDF (eBook)
File Size: 1.55 MB.
Reproduction Date: 9/15/2018

Title: Forecast of Top Index Funds for Investing in the Stock Market : Long View of the Leading Equity Funds Till the 2030s and Beyond: DIA, SPY and QQQ  
Author: Kim, Steven
Language: English
Subject: Non Fiction, Social Sciences, Investing
Collections: Education, Authors Community
Publication Date:
Publisher: MintKit Press
Member Page: Steven Kim


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Kim, S. (2018). Forecast of Top Index Funds for Investing in the Stock Market : Long View of the Leading Equity Funds Till the 2030s and Beyond: DIA, SPY and QQQ. Retrieved from

The ebook begins with a survey of the main drivers behind the stock market. The financial forum responds to a slew of factors ranging from the pep of the economy to the mood of the investors. In that case, an orderly approach to prediction has to integrate a heap of forces in the tangible economy as well as the financial forum. The second item on the agenda is a brief review of the history and nature of the leading benchmarks of the bourse. A couple of yardsticks have established themselves as household names while other metrics are less familiar to the general public. A third task involves a backward look at our near-term forecasts from 2017. A number of predictions turned out pretty much as envisioned, while some others were off the mark. The fourth item on the menu is the outlook for the real economy during the late 2010s and afterward. The realm of tangible goods and services provides the background against which the vehicles in the financial sphere play out their respective roles. The fifth topic concerns the role of the central bank in shoring up the real economy and pumping up the stock market. The spew of money creation – whether in the past, present or future – has a weighty impact on the marketplace. The sixth item deals with the index funds that track the chief benchmarks of the stock market. A handy roadmap lays out the likely pathways until the 2030s and beyond. The last section talks about the dangers of patchy and faulty information in the vale of exchange traded funds. In a field racked by rapid change, the heedful player has to take great pains to scrounge up the pithy data needed to fashion a sturdy program of investment.

A rundown of the top index funds sets the stage for a systematic approach to forecasting and investing in the stock market. The leading benchmarks of the bourse lie in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P index, and the Nasdaq 100 yardstick. For these beacons of the stock market, the tracking funds take the form of DIA, SPY and QQQ respectively. In addition to the outlook for the pacesetters, the prospects for bantam firms and emerging markets are profiled till the 2030s and beyond.

The outlook for the next few decades is pallid at best for the real and financial markets of Europe due to the litany of self-inflicted wounds and counterproductive schemes dished out by the political class. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy will continue to chug along despite the plethora of insults and injuries served up by the policymakers. An example in this vein is the crippling of the markets by way of contrived schemes to prop up the housing sector; a direct byproduct is to congeal the distortions in the chains of production and distribution that arose in the throes of the housing bubble. On the bright side, the vanguards of the business world garner a swelling share of their profits from foreign markets. In this way the dynamos partake of the growth of the global economy, the bulk of which springs from the emerging regions. The upshot is a bonanza for the U.S. bourse despite the inevitable splutter of sideswipes and upsets to pop up from time to time. From a different angle, the long wave of the commodity cycle embarked on its latest tour upon the blowup of the stock market in 2000. This type of mega circuit lasts 34 years on average. Moreover, if history is any indication, the commodity sector entered its downcast phase around 2017. The corresponding motif in the financial theater is a groundswell of the stock market over the same timespan. In other words, the U.S. bourse should flourish until the middle of the 2030s or thereabouts. Meanwhile the emerging markets that deliver the bulk of global growth ought to reap the biggest gains in the financial forum as well as the real economy. In the absence of a cataclysmic blow such as a worldwide war or a cosmic shock that shatters the planet, the prospects for the future are brighter at this stage than they have ever been since the dawn of the 21st century.

Table of Contents
Short Summary, 5 Extended Summary, 5 Introduction, 9 Upward and Downward Modes of Forecasting, 12 Milestones by the Numbers, 17 Showcase for Prediction, 21 Top Exchange Traded Funds for the Stock Market, 23 Sway of Market Benchmarks and Index Funds, 30 Some Hits and Misses in the Short Run, 32 Pivot on Earnings, 36 Advantage of the Diamonds, 38 Relative Motion of Index Funds, 40 Turnout of Sprouting Markets, 41 Mature Markets Outside North America, 44 Tidal Wave of Fraud, 50 Grind-down of the Economy, 52 Big Picture of Real and Financial Markets, 54 Chokes on the Economy, 57 Impact of Money Printing, 58 Slowdown of Money Creation, 61 Cuffs on Madcap Spending, 65 Outlook Based on Price and Earnings, 67 Forecast based on Profit Trends, 69 Trusty and Tricky Aspects of the Cue, 71 Forecast for DIA, 74 Impact of the Election Cycle, 77 Boost from Tax Reform, 79 Mashup of Internal and External Factors, 81 Equivalence of Price and Time, 82 Quick Calls for SPY and QQQ via Scale Factors, 85 Beta for Short-term Movements, 86 Historic Milestones for Qubes and Spyders, 89 Comparison of Beta versus Gearing, 91 Broad Outlook for Benchmarks, 95 Pivots Based on Major Landmarks, 96 Midrange View of the Senior Benchmark, 99 Prospects for Key Benchmarks, 101 Lively Versus Feeble Markets, 105 Practical Thrust of the Forecasts, 111 Scope of Market Forecasts, 113 A Caveat on Exchange Traded Funds, 116 References, 117


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